Dishonored for $45

[wraith808]

Green man gaming has a coupon on the home page of the site that applies to Dishonored, bringing the price down to $45.  If the reviews are any indication, it's not likely to be that price anytime soon otherwise.

Sale lasts until 10/12/12

[mouser]

Has someone made a site yet that predicts prices of games over time?  So that for a new game we could see a prediction of how the price will change over the next year?  Might help in making decisions..

[wraith808]

Has someone made a site yet that predicts prices of games over time?  So that for a new game we could see a prediction of how the price will change over the next year?  Might help in making decisions..

-mouser (October 09, 2012, 10:20 PM)

I don't think such a thing is reliably possible - especially with the business model that steam is using (and others appear to be following).  I saw syndicate for $10 over on Gamersgate.  That's a function of the reviews, I think.  But in addition to that, there's the publisher, the developer, and the buy rate.  All of those factor into it.

[mouser]

It doesnt have to be very accurate to be useful.   in fact i'll be you could probably produce a useful and reasonably accurate approximation function using only:

• the company
• the initial price
• the initial review scores

It would actually be a fun statistics project for anyone in school looking for an independent study assignment.

You'd just have to scrape the data for a bunch of games, to get the company name, initial price, initial review scores, release date, and find a source that has historical game price data. And then see what kinds of functions you could fit to the data.

The hard part would probably be collecting the historical/training data.

[TaoPhoenix]

That resale case lurking in the Supreme Court might bear on this too. The price of a game used to also factor that used copies were beginning to show up.

[wraith808]

That resale case lurking in the Supreme Court might bear on this too. The price of a game used to also factor that used copies were beginning to show up.

-TaoPhoenix (October 09, 2012, 11:10 PM)

That wouldn't really have any effect on PC game sales.  You don't really see PC games used.