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Author Topic: Dishonored for $45  (Read 1459 times)

wraith808

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Dishonored for $45
« on: October 09, 2012, 09:42:15 PM »
Green man gaming has a coupon on the home page of the site that applies to Dishonored, bringing the price down to $45.  If the reviews are any indication, it's not likely to be that price anytime soon otherwise.

Sale lasts until 10/12/12

mouser

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Re: Dishonored for $45
« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2012, 10:20:12 PM »
Has someone made a site yet that predicts prices of games over time?  So that for a new game we could see a prediction of how the price will change over the next year?  Might help in making decisions..

wraith808

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Re: Dishonored for $45
« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2012, 10:48:17 PM »
Has someone made a site yet that predicts prices of games over time?  So that for a new game we could see a prediction of how the price will change over the next year?  Might help in making decisions..

I don't think such a thing is reliably possible - especially with the business model that steam is using (and others appear to be following).  I saw syndicate for $10 over on Gamersgate.  That's a function of the reviews, I think.  But in addition to that, there's the publisher, the developer, and the buy rate.  All of those factor into it.

mouser

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Re: Dishonored for $45
« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2012, 11:02:06 PM »
It doesnt have to be very accurate to be useful.   in fact i'll be you could probably produce a useful and reasonably accurate approximation function using only:
  • the company
  • the initial price
  • the initial review scores

It would actually be a fun statistics project for anyone in school looking for an independent study assignment.

You'd just have to scrape the data for a bunch of games, to get the company name, initial price, initial review scores, release date, and find a source that has historical game price data. And then see what kinds of functions you could fit to the data.

The hard part would probably be collecting the historical/training data.
« Last Edit: October 09, 2012, 11:19:40 PM by mouser »

TaoPhoenix

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Re: Dishonored for $45
« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2012, 11:10:02 PM »
That resale case lurking in the Supreme Court might bear on this too. The price of a game used to also factor that used copies were beginning to show up.

wraith808

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Re: Dishonored for $45
« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2012, 11:30:22 PM »
That resale case lurking in the Supreme Court might bear on this too. The price of a game used to also factor that used copies were beginning to show up.

That wouldn't really have any effect on PC game sales.  You don't really see PC games used.