I think Microsoft is beyond that point where they can try to kill Linux. It would only hurt them. They need a different direction. So I don't see them killing Mono or anything like that.
They have nothing to gain there. Linux is entrenched. There's no killing it. They can only try to gain there.
Azure and all that cloud stuff is where they can gain. Linux can be an ally there. Mono can help. MS is losing relevance.
For some people, it would be nice to think so.
I think a lot of people misunderstand modern business strategy, which emphasizes control
rather than ownership
. Microsoft does not want to kill Linux. Far more trouble than it would be worth even if they could.
But that doesn't mean they won't try to co-opt it. Sort of like the old Soviet bloc. Why bother occupying and annexing Eastern Europe when you could more easily and completely control
it by proxy? Microsoft is approaching Linux and FOSS the same way. They don't want to kill it. Nor do they want to own it. They just want to license it. That brings in revenue without needing to pay for development. It's a straight intellectual property tax. Kinda like how the Roman Empire used to operate. They didn't care who you were, what you thought, or what you believed. All they wanted was for you to pay your taxes, and do as told, if and when they told you to do something. The rest of the time, they left you alone.
Sweet system. Many tend to knuckle under and learn to live with arrangements like that. It preserves the illusion of your independence while they're fitting you with a virtual slave collar.
So no, Micro-saftig isn't out to do in the penguin. They just want him to get a dog license from them.
One thing you can count on however. If Mono begins to take significant business away from Microsoft or otherwise becomes a genuine threat, Redmond will send in their legal team to either arrange license fees - or kill it.
The only reason it's less likely this will happen now is because of Microsoft's cloud initiative. If Mono provides an entry point for NIX users to start buying into MS/cloud services all will remain well with Ballmer & Co.